Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.206967 1.364198 1.536037 1.738084 1.969528 2.226806 2.535084
2025-12-21 0.943078 1.144532 1.382366 1.685022 2.061566 2.516727 3.111800
2025-12-28 0.821469 1.056545 1.352230 1.754091 2.290073 2.985961 3.967055
2026-01-04 0.727068 0.981456 1.318857 1.803669 2.489905 3.437646 4.865026
2026-01-11 0.652047 0.917439 1.285885 1.841552 2.670194 3.878933 5.810263
2026-01-18 0.588509 0.858618 1.248963 1.863429 2.823420 4.294404 6.774509
2026-01-25 0.523739 0.788622 1.185065 1.833101 2.888164 4.577427 7.566787
2026-02-01 0.458668 0.709881 1.097547 1.752579 2.858641 4.700184 8.103683
2026-02-08 0.410964 0.652556 1.036197 1.704943 2.873786 4.893640 8.785418
2026-02-15 0.372304 0.605426 0.985629 1.668025 2.900140 5.105794 9.527947
2026-02-22 0.355516 0.592439 0.989598 1.724294 3.096456 5.645150 10.973644
2026-03-01 0.335402 0.571577 0.977591 1.749903 3.238266 6.099618 12.321873
2026-03-08 0.307958 0.536433 0.939045 1.726227 3.291115 6.404534 13.447479
2026-03-15 0.279648 0.497161 0.889408 1.676350 3.287238 6.598003 14.374670
2026-03-22 0.270211 0.491436 0.900804 1.746216 3.534924 7.349210 16.702417
2026-03-29 0.258951 0.481094 0.902239 1.796046 3.747328 8.057171 19.071418
2026-04-05 0.247258 0.468706 0.898275 1.833960 3.938779 8.747561 21.538562
2026-04-12 0.234867 0.453707 0.887483 1.855824 4.096953 9.385067 24.002504
2026-04-19 0.218455 0.429098 0.854675 1.825665 4.130673 9.729106 25.750514
2026-04-26 0.198965 0.396481 0.802182 1.745512 4.034910 9.737933 26.564429
2026-05-03 0.184199 0.372471 0.765753 1.698091 4.012743 9.931055 27.953866
2026-05-10 0.171641 0.352095 0.735328 1.661337 4.012427 10.181567 29.570626
2026-05-17 0.167487 0.349439 0.743472 1.717360 4.256923 11.130133 33.567998